New Zealand Test match

Who Will Win Today’s New Zealand vs England 1st Test 2024 Prediction

Test cricket is proving why it remains the pinnacle of the sport. From Bangladesh’s historic series win in Pakistan, to England’s record-breaking performance followed by Pakistan’s comeback, and India’s dramatic loss to New Zealand at home—it’s been an exhilarating season. Adding to the drama, India crushed Australia in Perth despite being bowled out for 150 in the first innings. Test cricket, once again, is capturing imaginations with thrilling matches and unpredictable outcomes.

The focus now shifts to New Zealand vs England in Christchurch. For New Zealand, a win would propel them above Australia into second place on the World Test Championship (WTC) ladder. England, however, are out of contention for the WTC Final, continuing their struggle to reach the marquee event in all three editions.

There’s plenty to play for with the new Crowe-Thorpe Trophy on the line. Both teams are eager to finish the year on a high, making this Test a must-watch contest.

Match Details

  • Match: New Zealand vs England, 1st Test
  • Date: November 27–December 1, 2024
  • Venue: Hagley Oval, Christchurch
  • Time: 11:00 AM Local Time

Team Previews

New Zealand Preview

Confidence is surging in New Zealand cricket. Their men’s team blanked India 3-0 away, following their women’s T20 World Cup triumph. Now, taking on England at home, they’ll aim to continue their golden run.

New Zealand’s batting lineup is formidable. Will Young, Devon Conway, and skipper Tom Latham form a dependable top order, while Kane Williamson and rising star Rachin Ravindra anchor the middle order. The lower middle order, with Daryl Mitchell and Tom Blundell, adds depth and resilience.

In the bowling department, Matt Henry will be the primary threat on a green Christchurch wicket, supported by veterans Tim Southee and all-rounder Jacob Duffy.

  • Key Players to Watch:
    • Rachin Ravindra: In scintillating form after his heroics in India.
    • Matt Henry: The leader of the pace attack on seamer-friendly conditions.
    • Tom Latham: A steady hand at the top of the order.

Predicted XI:
Will Young, Devon Conway, Tom Latham (c), Kane Williamson, Rachin Ravindra, Daryl Mitchell, Tom Blundell (wk), Glenn Phillips, Jacob Duffy, Tim Southee, Matt Henry

England Preview

England’s “Bazball” approach continues to attract headlines, but it hasn’t translated into consistent success recently. They face a tough challenge in Christchurch, particularly with a lineup that includes a debutant at No. 3 and an under-pressure wicketkeeper-batsman.

Jacob Bethell makes his Test debut despite limited success in first-class cricket, adding to the intrigue around England’s selection. Meanwhile, Ollie Pope will don the gloves and bat at No. 6 after a disappointing series in Pakistan.

Skipper Ben Stokes leads a bowling-heavy lineup featuring Chris Woakes, Gus Atkinson, and leg-spinner Shoaib Bashir. England will need their bowlers to exploit the green pitch effectively.

  • Key Players to Watch:
    • Joe Root: England’s most reliable batter in all formats.
    • Ben Stokes: The captain and all-rounder with the ability to change games.
    • Shoaib Bashir: The lone spinner on a seam-friendly wicket.

Predicted XI:
Zak Crawley, Ben Duckett, Jacob Bethell, Joe Root, Harry Brook, Ollie Pope (wk), Ben Stokes (c), Chris Woakes, Gus Atkinson, Brydon Carse, Shoaib Bashir

Pitch and Weather Conditions

Pitch Report

The Hagley Oval pitch is expected to be a paradise for seam and swing bowlers, particularly in the opening session of the Test. The lush green surface will test batters’ technique, with 300 considered a competitive first-innings score. Spin is unlikely to play a significant role, making pace bowlers the key to success.

Weather Forecast

Christchurch will offer mild conditions, with temperatures dropping from 26°C on Day 1 to 15°C on Day 2. No rain is forecast, ensuring uninterrupted play across the five days.

Toss Prediction

Both captains are expected to opt to bowl first, capitalizing on the early movement offered by the green wicket.

Key Battles to Watch

  1. Rachin Ravindra vs Shoaib Bashir: Can the debutant spinner unsettle New Zealand’s star batter?
  2. Joe Root vs Matt Henry: England’s anchor faces New Zealand’s bowling spearhead.
  3. Tom Latham vs Chris Woakes: A contest of patience and precision in the opening overs.

Winning Prediction

New Zealand’s confidence and form, coupled with home advantage and England’s inconsistent record, make the hosts favorites. While England’s aggressive approach might catch New Zealand off-guard, their lack of cohesion and a fragile batting order may work against them.

Prediction: New Zealand to win

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